Eddie Lacy- Best Game: 25 Worst Game: 1 Average Game: 13.5 ADP: 1.04 (4rd) This year there is no real home-run first overall pick. Each of the top 4 running backs are very similar. The thing that separates Lacy is that doesn’t have the downside of AP’s age or Bell’s suspension.
Adrian Peterson– Best Game: 8 Worst Game: 8 Average Game: 8 ADP: 1.02 (1st) Adrian Peterson is one of those talents who can just dominate fantasy. He is going to be fresh coming off his suspension and will likely get more touches in the passing game. He will either have a monster season or will bust. He is the ultimate high risk high reward player.
LeVeon Bell- Best Game: 41 Worst Game: 6 Average Game: 17 ADP: 1.02 (2nd) I really like Bell and anticipate him being a dominating force throughout the season, I just feel losing him for two games could be the difference between you making the playoffs and missing them. Any of the first 3 RBs are good choices and I’d be ecstatic taking any of them. Note that if you are in a PPR league he’s definitely worth the number 1 slot.
Jamaal Charles- Best Game: 28 Worst Game: 0 Average Game: 13.13 ADP: 1.03 (3rd) It was a little frustrating to see Charles’s touches drop last year. Charles is truly one of the best play-makers since 2008 but his coaches have tried to limit his touches. Even if he does get more touches the right side of the Chiefs O-Line is inexperienced and could limit his ceiling. Charles is a good mid first round pick but I wouldn’t take Charles over any of the top 3 RBs on this list.
DeMarco Murray- Best Game: 27 Worst Game: 8 Average Game: 17.6 ADP: 2.04 (10th) DeMarco Murray is another one of those high risk high reward players. The risk is that he gets hurt after last years huge workload, or that his productivity declines drastically after leaving the best O-Line in the NFL. But if he stays healthy Murray could still pull off a great season in Chip Kelly’s high volume offense that alone puts him this high.
Marshawn Lynch- Best Game: 40 Worst Game: 6 Average Game: 15.8 ADP: 1.05 (5th) I’m not as high on Marshawn Lynch as everyone else is. The main reason is his career workload. He has 2033 carries so far in his career and many great RBs have fallen off after reaching the 2000 carry mark. Wouldn’t be surprised if he breaks down toward the end of the season leaving his owners high and dry during the fantasy playoffs.
Jeremy Hill- Best Game: 27 Worst Game: 1 Average Game: 10.7 ADP: 1.12 (8thth) Jeremy Hill was one of the top backs over second half of the year. After he took over for Gio Bernard he averaged 14 points a game, which if he held over the whole season, would have made him the 5th best running back. This year it appears the Bengals want Jeremy Hill to get the bulk of carries in the offense especially near the goal line. The only issue is that the Bengals go up against the toughest schedule for RBs. Overall I feel that Hill has good value as a late 1st round pick.
Matt Forte- Best Game: 27 Worst Game: 3 Average Game: 14.4 ADP: 1.11 (7th)I’m a little down on him because of Marc Trestman leaving and his heavy career workload, but John Fox loves to run and there doesn’t appear to be any other competition the Bears roster.
LeSean McCoy- Best Game: 19 Worst Game: 1 Average Game: 9.9 ADP: 2.01 (8th) McCoy struggled last year behind a depleted line but slowly improved. This year he has the chance to put up great numbers in Rex Ryan’s ground and pound offense. The one thing I’m concerned about is the Bill’s O-Line which seems mediocre at best. Sadly now he has a hamstring injury, and those sometimes linger.
Lamar Miller- Best Game: 23 Worst Game: 1 Average Game: 10.7 ADP: 3.03 (12th) Last year Lamar Miller was tied for 9th in fantasy scoring among RBs yet he is going in the late 3rd rounds in most drafts. Lamar Miller is a good back with a chance to breakout in Miami. Would be an outstanding RB2.
Justin Forsett- Best Game: 30 Worst Game: 2 Average Game: 11.8 ADP: 2.10 (12th) Forsett is a player I think will continue to strive. Forsett has low mileage, a great O-line, and will have the opportunity to catch tons of passes out of the backfield in arc Trestman’s offense.
CJ Anderson- Best Game: 28 Worst Game: 0 Average Game: 11.9 ADP: 1.08 (6th) – CJ Anderson averaged 22.5 points a game after week 9 and many analysts are really high on him. I’m not sold. A new offense, an offensive line weakened by Ryan Clady’s injury, and the decline of Peyton Manning could lead to CJ Anderson being a 1st round bust.
Alfred Morris- Best Game: 22 Worst Game: 1 Average Game: 9.9 ADP: 3.05 (14th) An improved O-Line and easy schedule make Alfred Morris a near lock to get 1000 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns. The fact that this is his contract year could really increase his upside as running backs in there contract year tend to do well (see mark Ingram.) The only issue is that he loses a lot of value in PPR leagues.
Joseph Randle- Best Game: 12 Worst Game: 0 Average Game: 3 ADP: 3.07 (15th) I really like Randle this year and really think he can have a 1200 yard 10 TD year. The man has big play ability and the leagues best line. Great high upside choice at the RB position unless Darren McFadden and or Lance Dunbar can force a time share.
Frank Gore- Best Game: 22 Worst Game: 1 Average Game: 8.4 ADP: 3.03 (13th) I really don’t like Frank Gore or many of the running backs in this 3rd to fourth round range. There is just so little depth at the position. I’m not really high on Gore because he’s old and going into a new offense. I just don’t really anticipate him getting enough touches in the Colts passing offense. Plus I feel that a younger more dynamic back like Dan Herron or Zurlon Tipton could steal touches. Gore’s upside remains in his goal line ability. Overall I’d put him down as a high variance RB if he doesn’t wear down significantly or get hurt.
Carlos Hyde- Best Game: 11 Worst Game: 0 Average Game: 3.7 ADP: 4.04 (20th) Carlos Hyde is in an interesting position. He is a good young back on a team that loves to run the ball, but his team imploded in the off-season and could very well be one of worst teams in the NFL. Overall he feels like a safe RB2 and a good value at his current ADP.
Mark Ingram- Best Game: 23 Worst Game: 3 Average Game: 11.85 ADP: 3.09 (16th) I have never been a huge fan of drafting Saints running backs and Mark Ingram is no different. I’m very concerned that Ingram could decline after finally getting his contract. Overall I feel that Ingram could have some good weeks, but won’t be more than a low-end RB2 if even that.
Melvin Gordon- Best Game: N/A Rookie Worst Game: N/A Average Game: N/A ADP: 3.10 (17th) Gordon has been falling in a lot of rankings because he isn’t a 3 down back and because Danny Woodhead seems healthy. I’m also concerned about the Charger’s O-Line which looks to be one of the worst in the NFL. I would not take Gordon before the fourth round.
Todd Gurley- Best Game: N/A Rookie Worst Game: N/A Average Game: N/A ADP: 5.03 (23rd) I really feel that Todd Gurley could be one of those players who will win you the league once he gets healthy. As of now it seems like he will be back around week 6 so he can still have some decent value in the 5th round. There some concerns however beyond his health. The Rams offensive line is pretty poor so he could have trouble getting going.
LeGarrette Blount- Best Game: 19 Worst Game: 0 Average Game: 5.5 ADP: 5.10 (26th) With Tom Brady out the first four games I expect Blount have some good games early on. (Note he is suspended for the first game.) Once Brady gets back he should have lots of goal line carries. Te biggest concern is Bill Belichick’s love for randomly switching which running back gets carries. Overall Blount feels like a high risk high reward pick.
Latavius Murray- Best Game: 23 Worst Game: 0 Average Game: 6.1 ADP: 4.02 (18th) Don’t really like any Raiders this year and that includes Murray. Murray has decent upside but playing for the Riaders makes him more of a flex option rather than a RB2.
Doug Martin- Best Game: 11 Worst Game: 0 Average Game: 5.27 ADP: 5.04 (24th) Doug Martin’s ADP skyrocketed after he looked really explosive in his first preseason game. That’s great but the main reason I like him so much is because the Bucs have the easiest schedule in the league. This will help the Buccaneers win games and in turn allow Martin more carries. On ESPN leagues he on average is going in 91st pick, so if you’re drafting there you have better odds of nabbing a good RB2 in the 8th or ninth round.
Andre Ellington- Best Game: 26 Worst Game: 1 Average Game: 10.16 ADP: 4.09 (22nd) Good things about Andre Ellington: Big play threat, great receiver, extra PPR value, plays in a good offense. Bad things about Ellington: He’s very injury prone, his offensive line is poor especially since newly acquired Mike Iupati could miss half the season, the Cardinals drafted David Johnson and picked up Chris Johnson in training camp. Overall he seems like a decent RB2 if you take him him the late fourth early fifth round.
Chris Ivory- Best Game: 17 Worst Game: 1 Average Game: 7.8 ADP: 8.01 (37th)
Ameer Abdullah- Best Game: N/A Rookie Worst Game: N/A Average Game: N/A ADP: 6.04 (29th)
Tevin Coleman- Best Game: N/A Rookie Worst Game: N/A Average Game: N/A ADP: 6.08 (31st)
Jonathan Stewart- Best Game: 21 Worst Game: 3 Average Game: 8.46 ADP: 4.08 (21nd)
T.J. Yeldon- Best Game: N/A Rookie Worst Game: N/A Average Game: N/A ADP: 5.06 (25th)
Joique Bell- Best Game: 25 Worst Game: 3 Average Game: 10.2 ADP: 5.11 (27th)
Ryan Mathews- Best Game: 16 Worst Game: 4 Average Game: 9 ADP: 8.07 (38th)
CJ Spiller- Best Game: 12 Worst Game: -1 Average Game: 5 ADP: 4.12 (24th)
Darren McFadden- Best Game: 12 Worst Game: 0 Average Game: 4.44 ADP: 7.10 (35th)
Isaiah Crowell- Best Game: 20 Worst Game: 1 Average Game: 6.87 ADP: 7.05 (33rd)
Giovani Bernard- Best Game: 22 Worst Game: 1 Average Game: 10.15 ADP: 6.07 (30th)
Tre Mason- Best Game: 33 Worst Game: 1 Average Game: 9.25 ADP: 7.11 (36th)
Bishop Sankey- Best Game: 11 Worst Game: -1 Average Game: 4 ADP: 9.12 (43rd)
Shane Vereen- Best Game: 23 Worst Game: 0 Average Game: 6.31 ADP: 7.09 (34th)
Devonta Freeman- Best Game: 13 Worst Game: -1 Average Game: 2.75 ADP: 8.11 (39th)
Rashad Jennings- Best Game: 23 Worst Game: 1 Average Game: 9.09 ADP: 6.01 (28th)
David Johnson- Best Game: N/A Rookie Worst Game: N/A Average Game: N/A ADP: 9.07 (42nd)
Charles Sims- Best Game: 12 Worst Game: 1 Average Game: 4.375 ADP: 10.12 (47th)
Terrance West- Best Game: 16 Worst Game: 0 Average Game: 6.71 ADP: 13.12 (58th)
Arian Foster- Best Game: 20 Worst Game: 5 Average Game: 17.15 ADP: 1.09 (6th)
Duke Johnson- Best Game: N/A Rookie Worst Game: N/A Average Game: N/A ADP: 8.12 (40th)
Lorenzo Taliferro- Best Game: 18 Worst Game: 0 Average Game: 6.33 ADP: ()
Jerrick McKinnon- Best Game: 18 Worst Game: 0 Average Game: 5.45 ADP: 14.01 (62nd)
Knile Davis- Best Game: 21 Worst Game: -2 Average Game: 5.94 ADP: 10.01 (44th)
Fred Jackson- Best Game: 16 Worst Game: 2 Average Game: 7.85 ADP: 13.08 (55th)
David Cobb- Best Game: N/A Rookie Worst Game: N/A Average Game: N/A ADP: 9.06 (41st)
Roy Helu- Best Game: 12 Worst Game: 0 Average Game: 5.77 ADP: 13.08 (54th)
Darren Sproles- Best Game: 23 Worst Game: 0 Average Game: 7.13 ADP: 12.02 (51st)
Lance Dunbar- Best Game: 5 DNP Worst Game: 0 Average Game: 1.5 ADP: ()
Robert Turbin- Best Game: 10 Worst Game: 0 Average Game: 3.062 ADP: ()
James Starks- Best Game: 15 Worst Game: 0 Average Game: 3.57 ADP: 13.12 (59th)
Andre Williams- Best Game: 20 Worst Game: 0 Average Game: 7.19 ADP: 14.02 (63rd)
Danny Woodhead- Best Game: 5 Worst Game: 0 Average Game: 1.67 ADP: 11.10 (50th)
DeAngelo Williams- Best Game: 7 Worst Game: 2 Average Game: 3.83 ADP: 10.07 (45th)
Steven Ridley- Best Game: 17 Worst Game: 2 Average Game: 7.33 ADP: 13.09 (56th)
Alfred Blue- Best Game: 15 Worst Game: 0 Average Game: ADP: 4.94 12.06 (51st)
Trent Richardson- Best Game: 15 Worst Game: 0 Average Game: 5.06 ADP: 14.05 (64th)